Election Prognosticator Who Correctly Predicted Every Election Winner Since 1984 Reveals Who is Likely to Win in 2024
Allan Lichtman, an election prognosticator who has correctly predicted nearly every presidential race since 1984, developed a formula that is used to make predictions about an upcoming presidential election — and in many cases, it proves to be accurate.
Lichtman’s "Keys to the White House" consists of 13 true or false questions that he believes establish a strong indication of who will be named the victor on the fall ballot. Each question is asked about the two dueling nominees; if "true" they are given a "key," and if "false," their competitor receives the point.
The "Keys to the White House" are being handed out, predicting...
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currently holds a slight lead in a hypothetical 2024 matchup against former President Donald Trump.
Thus far, Biden holds five of the "keys," while Trump was able to capture about three, Lichtman revealed to MarketWatch. That leaves five keys still up for grabs, and enough room for the former president to secure a lead before November.
According to American University, where Lichtman teaches, the "keys" are as follows: party mandate, contest, incumbency, third party, short-term economy, long-term economy, policy change, social unrest, scandal, foreign/military failure, foreign/military success, incumbent charisma and challenger charisma.While Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. met the requirements to appear on the Utah presidential election ballot, Biden was granted another "key" for not appearing to have any significant third party or independent primary challenge.
The Democrat was also given "keys" for having "real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms," as well as implementing policy changes during his presidency.
Trump, however, secured key number one, which is granted to whoever’s political party holds the majority in the House of Representatives — which goes to the GOP.
Painting Biden as having a lack of charisma, Lichtman gave Trump the 12th key, and possibly another point if Biden fails to have "a major success in foreign or military affairs."
Lichtman correctly predicted Trump would win the 2016 election, and thereafter that Biden would win the 2020 presidential election against Trump.
Kate Middleton had fun during her first visit to the England teams as patron of the Rugby Football Union (RFU). The patronage was vacated as Prince Harry was forced to return it to Queen Elizabeth II after he and his wife, Meghan Markle, decided to step down from their royal duties.
Kate Middleton Visits Twickenham Studio For New Patronage Debut
The Duchess of Cambridge wore an England rugby team outfit and studded shoes when she visited Twickenham Stadium to meet the England players Wednesday. During the visit, she took part in a training session with both men and women squads. She took the pitch with the players for two special skills sessions run by head coach Eddie Jones, Express reported.
Middleton knew that the athletes were going easy on her, and she joked, "If only it was that easy."
When she joined the mean's team, they taught her how to score a conversion kick, and Prince William's wife burst into hysterics when they lifted her into the air while trying a line-out.
READ: Kate Middleton, Prince William's PDA Very Different From Meghan Markle, Prince Harry
The team also prepared a special present for its new royal patron. They gave Middleton three little team kits for her children Prince George, 8, Princess Charlotte, 6, and Prince Louis, 3.
Middleton made her first public engagement with the RFU just hours after Kensington Palace announced that the Duchess of Cambridge is the new royal patron of RFU and Rugby Football League. The role was previously held by her brother-in-law Prince Harry. Middleton is the first royal to take over one of the charities held by the Duke and Duchess of Sussex.
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Kate Middleton Praised For Her New Patronage After Taking Over Role From Prince Harry
The Duchess of Cambridge received praises from fans and supporters after they learned about her debut as the new rugby patron. During her first meeting with the players, the duchess showed off her rugby skills, and she didn't disappoint her followers.
"Catherine is perfect for it," one commented on Twitter with a smiling face with three hearts emoji.
"Good 4 her," another added with raising high emoji.
"The best choice," a third user wrote with multiple clapping hands emoji.
Middleton has always been a sporty royal. She is also the patron of the Lawn Tennis Association.
Stay tuned for more news and updates about Kate Middleton, Prince William, Prince Harry, and the other members of the royal family.
Kate Middleton rolled her eyes at the mention of her sister-in-law Meghan Markle's hit series Suits. The Duchess of Sussex catapulted to fame thanks to the American legal drama TV series she starred in before meeting Prince Harry.
Kate Middleton Allegedly Rolled Eyes At The Mention Of Meghan Markle's Series Suits
Roya Nikkhah, the royal editor for The Sunday Times, spoke with multiple aides, friends and sources who know Kate Middleton to commemorate the Duchess of Cambridge's 40th birthday. According to them, Prince William's wife rarely speaks or comments on issues, unlike her husband.
Prince William is frank and would often speak his mind even on matters like family woes. However, Middleton doesn't go there.
The duchess is "150 percent more reserved than William," an unnamed friend told Nikkhah.
The insider added that the closest reaction they had from Middleton about Meghan Markle was when she jokingly rolled her eyes at the mention of the former actress' legal drama Suits.
Kate Middleton Remained Calm After Meghan Markle, Prince Harry's Interview With Oprah Winfrey
The Duke and Duchess of Sussex sat down for an interview with Oprah Winfrey in March 2021. During the bombshell tell-all, Markle cleared the air about the rumors that she made Kate Middleton cry.
Markle said, "the reverse happened." Apparently, it was Middleton who allegedly made her cry.
The future queen consort reacted differently, according to insiders. Instead of stamping her feet and demanding to release a statement to defend her name, she thought of her husband, Prince William, who was also affected by the interview.
"In the days after the interview, her priority was William, not how she felt about what Harry and Meghan had done," an unnamed source told Nikkhah. "She has focused on personal support for William in what has been a really sad time in his life. She never predicted the degree of falling out between them."
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Meanwhile, another anonymous insider claimed that Middleton never spoke about the issue. However, they allegedly heard a different version from Markle.
"I’ve had hundreds of hours of conversations with her [Kate] and it never came up. I only ever heard from Meghan about that — a very different story from what she said to Oprah," an unnamed source said.
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Despite the rumored falling out between the Cambridges and Sussexes, some sources claimed that Middleton and Markle's relationship has since improved after baby Lili's arrival.
"Tensions have eased between Meghan and Kate," a source told Us Weekly in July. "Kate even sent Meghan a gift for the baby. They’re in a better place and have exchanged texts since the birth of Lilibet."
Kate Middleton allegedly felt compelled to show unity when she made an appearance in the wake of Sarah Everard. However, an insider, who claimed to be her friend, said the duchess only acted because it was what she was feeling at the time.
Kate Middleton 'Only Acted' At Sarah Everard's Vigil
The Duchess of Cambridge visited Sarah Everard's vigil in March 2020. However, the duchess received intense backlash for showing up at the event.
First, gatherings were being discouraged at the time. Metropolitan Police Commissioner Dame Cressida Dick, who initially implied that the gathering was illegal, caused outrage on social media after she seemingly defended Middleton, saying she was only there for her duties.
"She’s in the course of her duties. She was working," she told BBC Radio 4 program when grilled about Middleton's attendance at the wake.
During the interview, she seemed to avoid smearing the royal while also not backtracking her former comments condemning the rally where the protesters clashed with the police handling Everard's case.
One insider close to Middleton said that the allegations that she was there for duties were not true. The duchess went there because the incident was making her emotional.
"She just acted," Middleton's friend told Hello! Magazine. "She felt it was really important to be part of the moment because she felt really emotional about it herself."
It was not easy for Middleton to show up at the event, the tipster added. It was a rare public display of spontaneity for the future queen of consort's part who is a natural introvert and a very shy person.
Kate Middleton Sends Sarah's Family A Heartfelt Letter
Aside from her attendance at the vigil, Kate Middleton sent a letter to Sarah' surviving family members. She penned the letter to "express her absolute sadness at what Sarah's family and loved ones are going through," Daily Mail reported.
Sarah went missing just three miles where Middleton and her sister, Pippa, used to share a flat in Chelsea before she married the future king. The duchess wanted to offer her condolences and let Sarah's family to know that they were in her thoughts.
"This was a deeply personal and heartfelt letter, simply to express her absolute sadness at what Sarah's family and loved ones are going through," an unnamed source told The Mirror.
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"The Duchess knows that no words can change what has happened but wanted to let them know that they and Sarah are in her thoughts. She remembers what it is like to walk alone as a young woman in London and elsewhere, and like so many other women, she has been thinking deeply about her experiences during those times."
It was reportedly important for Middleton to pay her respect. And she considered the incident a "private matter" and wanted to show unity with everyone feeling the same.
Sarah died due to compression of the neck. According to reports, the 33-year-old woman was kidnapped and murdered. Her body was found in a wooden region in Kent, 50 miles from where she was last seen alive.
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