Hopes of a breakthrough in the US–Iran conflict have faded after early diplomatic progress was disrupted, with President Donald Trump’s public statements and combative social media posts may have complicated sensitive negotiations. While backchannel talks mediated by Pakistan had been gaining momentum, Trump’s claims that Iran had already agreed to key demands were swiftly rejected by Tehran, which warned such assertions risk undermining its domestic position. Major disagreements over uranium enrichment, sanctions relief, and internal divisions within Iran’s leadership continue to stall progress, while recent military tensions have further strained the fragile ceasefire.