National Hurricane Center watching Carolina Coast for tropical development
The National Hurricane Center will monitor an area off the coast of the Carolinas for tropical development this weekend. Currently, there is a very slim chance of 10% for a tropical system to form over the next seven days.
The GFS model is the most aggressive with development by Saturday. A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form along a cold front that will be situated just offshore of the southeastern United States. I think there could be a brief window that this low pressure develops more tropical-like characteristics over the weekend. Regardless, this is NOT a threat to the Gulf of Mexico but will bring gusty winds, rain, and dangerous surf to the southeastern coast. The first name on the Atlantic Hurricane list is Arlene.